Developments in predictive displays for discrete and continuous tasks

Abstract

The plan of the thesis is as follows: The introductory chapters review the literature pertaining to human prediction and predictive control models (Chapter 1), and to engineering aspects of predictive displays (Chapter 2). Chapter 3 describes a fundamental study of predictive display parameters in a laboratory scheduling task, Chapter 4 attempts to verify these findings using test data from an actual job shop scheduling problem. Chapter 5 branches into the area of continuous control with a pilot study of predictive displays in a laboratory simulated continuous stirred-tank chemical reactor. Chapter 6 uses the experience gained in the pilot study as the basis for a comprehensive study of predictive display parameters in a further laboratory study of a simplified dual-meter monitoring and control task, and Chapter 7 attempts to test the optimal design in a part-simulated semi-batch chemical reactor using real plant and experienced operators in an industrial setting. The results of the experimental programme are summarized for convenience in Chapter 8. Chapter 9 draws together the threads from the various experiments and discusses the findings in terms of a general hierarchical model of an operator's control and monitoring behaviour. Finally, Chapter 10 presents conclusions and recommendations from the programme of research, together with suggestions for further work