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Visualizing Probabilistic Proof
Abstract
The author revisits the Blue Bus Problem, a famous thought-experiment in law involving probabilistic proof, and presents Bayesian solutions to different versions of the blue bus hypothetical. In addition, the author expresses his solutions in standard and visual formats, that is, in terms of probabilities and natural frequencies- text
- Law
- Evidence
- Bayes
- Blue Bus Problem
- Probability
- Statistics
- Natural frequency
- Probabilistic proof
- Smith v. Rapid Transit
- Inc.
- Applied Statistics
- Evidence
- Judges
- Jurisprudence
- Law and Economics
- Legal History
- Legal Theory
- Numerical Analysis and Computation
- Other Applied Mathematics
- Probability
- Rule of Law
- Statistical Models
- Statistical Theory