Sensitivity of discharge and flood frequency to 21st Century and late Holocene changes in climate and land use (River Meuse, northwest Europe)

Abstract

We used a calibrated coupled climate-hydrological model to simulate Meuse discharge over the late Holocene (4000-3000 BP and 1000-2000 AD). We then used this model to simulate discharge in the twenty-first century under SRES emission scenarios A2 and B1, with and without future land use change. Mean discharge and medium-sized high-flow (e. g.